FOMC
FOMC decision December 9, 2026
Wed, Dec 9, 2026, 2:00 PM EST
What printed
- Not released
What markets leaned toward
Hike 25bp
Kalshi 85.5% · Polymarket 86.5%
Highest captured price before the release. Updated Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 2:21 AM EST.
Odds before the print
- Polymarket · 25 bps increase
- Polymarket · 50+ bps increase
- Polymarket · No change
- Polymarket · 25 bps decrease
Bracket by bracket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Cut 50bp or more | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Cut 25bp | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| No change | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Hike 25bp | 85.5% | 86.5% |
| Hike 50bp or more | 10.5% | 9.6% |
Percents are the latest captured yes price before the decision.