FOMC
FOMC decision October 28, 2026
Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT
What printed
- Decision
- No change
- Target range
- 3.75–4.00%
What markets leaned toward
No change
Kalshi 97.0% · Polymarket 95.8%
Highest captured price before the release. Updated Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT.
Odds before the print
- Kalshi · Fed maintains rate
- Polymarket · No change
- Polymarket · 25 bps increase
- Kalshi · Hike 25bps
Bracket by bracket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Cut 50bp or more | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cut 25bp | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| No change · printed | 97.0% | 95.8% |
| Hike 25bp | 3.0% | 3.9% |
| Hike 50bp or more | 1.0% | 0.5% |
Percents are the latest captured yes price before the decision.