FOMC
FOMC decision September 16, 2026
Wed, Sep 16, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT
What printed
- Decision
- Hike 25bp
- Target range
- 3.75–4.00%
What markets leaned toward
Hike 25bp
Kalshi 88.0% · Polymarket —
Highest captured price before the release. Updated Wed, Sep 16, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT.
Odds before the print
- Kalshi · Hike 25bps
- Kalshi · Fed maintains rate
- Kalshi · Cut 25bps
- Kalshi · Cut >25bps
Bracket by bracket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Cut 50bp or more | 1.0% | — |
| Cut 25bp | 1.0% | — |
| No change | 12.0% | — |
| Hike 25bp · printed | 88.0% | — |
| Hike 50bp or more | 1.0% | — |
Percents are the latest captured yes price before the decision.