FOMC
FOMC decision December 10, 2025
Wed, Dec 10, 2025, 2:00 PM EST
What printed
- Decision
- Cut 25bp
- Target range
- 3.50–3.75%
What markets leaned toward
Cut 25bp
Kalshi 97.0% · Polymarket —
Highest captured price before the release. Updated Wed, Dec 10, 2025, 2:00 PM EST.
Odds before the print
- Kalshi · Cut 25bps
- Kalshi · Fed maintains rate
- Kalshi · Cut >25bps
- Kalshi · Hike 25bps
Bracket by bracket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Cut 50bp or more | 1.0% | — |
| Cut 25bp · printed | 97.0% | — |
| No change | 3.0% | — |
| Hike 25bp | 1.0% | — |
| Hike 50bp or more | 1.0% | — |
Percents are the latest captured yes price before the decision.