FOMC
FOMC decision July 30, 2025
Wed, Jul 30, 2025, 2:00 PM EDT
What printed
- Decision
- No change
- Target range
- 4.25–4.50%
What markets leaned toward
No change
Kalshi 97.0% · Polymarket —
Highest captured price before the release. Updated Wed, Jul 30, 2025, 2:00 PM EDT.
Odds before the print
- Kalshi · Fed maintains rate
- Kalshi · Cut 25bps
- Kalshi · Cut >25bps
- Kalshi · Hike 25bps
Bracket by bracket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Cut 50bp or more | 1.0% | — |
| Cut 25bp | 3.0% | — |
| No change · printed | 97.0% | — |
| Hike 25bp | 1.0% | — |
| Hike 50bp or more | 1.0% | — |
Percents are the latest captured yes price before the decision.