PWPrint Watch

CPI

CPI for October 2026

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 8:30 AM EST

What printed

Headline MoM
+0.4%
Headline YoY
—
Core MoM
+0.3%
Core YoY
—

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.

What markets leaned toward

0.2%

Kalshi 43.0% · Polymarket 46.0%

Highest captured price before the release. Updated Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 8:30 AM EST.

Odds before the print

025507510010-2611-10
  • Kalshi · Above -0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.0%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.2%

Bracket by bracket

OutcomeKalshiPolymarket
≤0.1%4.0%6.5%
0.2%43.0%46.0%
0.3%44.0%40.0%
0.4% · printed7.0%7.5%
0.5%1.0%1.5%
0.6%0.0%0.4%
0.7%0.0%0.1%
0.8%0.0%0.1%
≥0.9%1.0%0.1%

Kalshi percents on aligned rows are implied from “above X” contracts. They are not renormalized, so a row can be blank when the matching strike was not listed.

Sources