CPI
CPI for September 2026
Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 8:30 AM EDT
What printed
- Headline MoM
- +0.6%
- Headline YoY
- +3.7%
- Core MoM
- +0.3%
- Core YoY
- +2.6%
Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.
What markets leaned toward
0.6%
Kalshi 47.0% · Polymarket 53.0%
Highest captured price before the release. Updated Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 8:30 AM EDT.
Odds before the print
- Kalshi · Above 0.3%
- Kalshi · Above -0.1%
- Kalshi · Above 0.2%
- Kalshi · Above 0.0%
Bracket by bracket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| ≤0.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 0.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% |
| 0.5% | 23.0% | 29.0% |
| 0.6% · printed | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| 0.7% | 20.0% | 12.0% |
| ≥0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
Kalshi percents on aligned rows are implied from “above X” contracts. They are not renormalized, so a row can be blank when the matching strike was not listed.