PWPrint Watch

CPI

CPI for August 2026

Fri, Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 AM EDT

What printed

Headline MoM
+0.4%
Headline YoY
+3.4%
Core MoM
+0.3%
Core YoY
+2.4%

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.

What markets leaned toward

Market data not captured.

Odds before the print

025507510008-2709-11
  • Kalshi · Above -0.2%
  • Kalshi · Above -0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.0%
  • Kalshi · Above -0.4%

Bracket by bracket

Kalshi

  • ≤ -0.4%1.0%
  • -0.4% to -0.3%0.0%
  • -0.3% to -0.2%0.0%
  • -0.2% to -0.1%0.0%
  • -0.1% to 0.0%0.0%
  • 0.0% to 0.1%2.0%
  • 0.1% to 0.2%3.0%
  • 0.2% to 0.3%49.0%
  • 0.3% to 0.4%30.0%
  • 0.4% to 0.5%10.0%
  • 0.5% to 0.6%3.0%
  • 0.6% to 0.7%0.0%
  • 0.7% to 0.8%1.0%
  • 0.8% to 0.9%0.0%
  • 0.9% to 1.0%0.0%
  • Above 1.0%1.0%

Polymarket

Market data not captured.

    Kalshi percents on aligned rows are implied from “above X” contracts. They are not renormalized, so a row can be blank when the matching strike was not listed.

    Sources