CPI
CPI for August 2026
Fri, Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 AM EDT
What printed
- Headline MoM
- +0.4%
- Headline YoY
- +3.4%
- Core MoM
- +0.3%
- Core YoY
- +2.4%
Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.
What markets leaned toward
Market data not captured.
Odds before the print
- Kalshi · Above -0.2%
- Kalshi · Above -0.1%
- Kalshi · Above 0.0%
- Kalshi · Above -0.4%
Bracket by bracket
Kalshi
- ≤ -0.4%1.0%
- -0.4% to -0.3%0.0%
- -0.3% to -0.2%0.0%
- -0.2% to -0.1%0.0%
- -0.1% to 0.0%0.0%
- 0.0% to 0.1%2.0%
- 0.1% to 0.2%3.0%
- 0.2% to 0.3%49.0%
- 0.3% to 0.4%30.0%
- 0.4% to 0.5%10.0%
- 0.5% to 0.6%3.0%
- 0.6% to 0.7%0.0%
- 0.7% to 0.8%1.0%
- 0.8% to 0.9%0.0%
- 0.9% to 1.0%0.0%
- Above 1.0%1.0%
Polymarket
Market data not captured.
Kalshi percents on aligned rows are implied from “above X” contracts. They are not renormalized, so a row can be blank when the matching strike was not listed.