PWPrint Watch

CPI

CPI for June 2026

Tue, Jul 14, 2026, 8:30 AM EDT

What printed

Headline MoM
-0.4%
Headline YoY
+3.5%
Core MoM
0.0%
Core YoY
+2.6%

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.

What markets leaned toward

Market data not captured.

Odds before the print

025507510006-2907-14
  • Kalshi · Above -0.3%
  • Kalshi · Above -0.2%
  • Kalshi · Above -0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.1%

Bracket by bracket

Kalshi

  • ≤ -0.3%9.0%
  • -0.3% to -0.2%48.0%
  • -0.2% to -0.1%29.0%
  • -0.1% to 0.0%12.0%
  • 0.0% to 0.1%0.0%
  • 0.1% to 0.2%3.0%
  • 0.2% to 0.3%0.0%
  • 0.3% to 0.4%0.0%
  • 0.4% to 0.5%0.0%
  • Above 0.5%1.0%

Polymarket

Market data not captured.

    Kalshi percents on aligned rows are implied from “above X” contracts. They are not renormalized, so a row can be blank when the matching strike was not listed.

    Sources