CPI

CPI for April 2026

Tue, May 12, 2026, 8:30 AM EDT

What printed

Headline MoM: +0.6%
Headline YoY: +3.8%
Core MoM: +0.4%
Core YoY: +2.8%

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.

What markets leaned toward

Market data not captured.

Odds before the print

Kalshi · Above 0.3%
Kalshi · Above 0.2%
Kalshi · Above 0.0%
Kalshi · Above 0.1%

Bracket by bracket

Kalshi

≤ -0.1%1.0%
-0.1% to 0.0%0.0%
0.0% to 0.1%0.0%
0.1% to 0.2%0.0%
0.2% to 0.3%0.0%
0.3% to 0.4%1.0%
0.4% to 0.5%27.0%
0.5% to 0.6%44.0%
0.6% to 0.7%17.0%
0.7% to 0.8%7.0%
0.8% to 0.9%2.0%
0.9% to 1.0%0.0%
Above 1.0%2.0%

Polymarket