PWPrint Watch

CPI

CPI for July 2025

Tue, Aug 12, 2025, 8:30 AM EDT

What printed

Headline MoM
+0.2%
Headline YoY
+2.7%
Core MoM
+0.3%
Core YoY
+3.1%

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.

What markets leaned toward

Market data not captured.

Odds before the print

025507510007-2808-12
  • Kalshi · Above 0.0%
  • Kalshi · Above -0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.2%

Bracket by bracket

Kalshi

  • ≤ -0.1%4.0%
  • -0.1% to 0.0%0.0%
  • 0.0% to 0.1%8.0%
  • 0.1% to 0.2%37.0%
  • 0.2% to 0.3%42.0%
  • 0.3% to 0.4%9.0%
  • Above 0.4%3.0%

Polymarket

Market data not captured.

    Kalshi percents on aligned rows are implied from “above X” contracts. They are not renormalized, so a row can be blank when the matching strike was not listed.

    Sources