PWPrint Watch

CPI

CPI for May 2025

Wed, Jun 11, 2025, 8:30 AM EDT

What printed

Headline MoM
+0.1%
Headline YoY
+2.4%
Core MoM
+0.1%
Core YoY
+2.8%

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes are computed from the latest published BLS indexes and rounded half-up to one decimal. Revisions can differ from the initial news-release print. When Kalshi recorded a settlement value for that print, it replaces the computed figure.

What markets leaned toward

Market data not captured.

Odds before the print

025507510005-2706-11
  • Kalshi · Above -0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.0%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.1%
  • Kalshi · Above 0.2%

Bracket by bracket

Kalshi

  • ≤ -0.1%4.0%
  • -0.1% to 0.0%2.0%
  • 0.0% to 0.1%16.0%
  • 0.1% to 0.2%63.0%
  • 0.2% to 0.3%14.0%
  • 0.3% to 0.4%0.0%
  • 0.4% to 0.5%0.0%
  • Above 0.5%3.0%

Polymarket

Market data not captured.

    Kalshi percents on aligned rows are implied from “above X” contracts. They are not renormalized, so a row can be blank when the matching strike was not listed.

    Sources